Tracking the library marketplace is a daunting task for any collection development librarian. However, in order to understand, predict and plan for upcoming expenditures and needs, the publishing market and trends must be closely followed and examined. The following tables reveal the publishing statistics from standard sources for serials, monographs, electronic databases and journals, and full-text resources.
Projection for 2000 = 218,000
* In the 36th edition of Ulrich's Directory of Periodicals, 9,586 titles had ceased or suspended; 8,762 titles were availble online or in addtion to hard copy,; 2,903 titles were available on CD-ROM.
Source: Ulrich's Directory of Periodicals (New York: Bowker, various years)
Projection for 2000 = 1,050,000 Source: Statiscal Yearbook (UNESCO) (New York, United Nations,various years) and International Book Publishing: an Encyclopedia (New York: Garland,1995)
Projection for 2000 = n.a. commercial publishers are exploring the market, there are no reliable predictions.
"Experiments by publishers continue to proliferate....The downside of the publishers experimentation continues to be that the experiments are limited in critical ways. The biggest drawback is that print publishers are seeking ways to preserve the paper image electronically, offering not text but pictures of text in bit-mapped images, often through the rapidly-obsolescing CD-ROM vehicle." page iii, 1995 of The Directory cited below.
"With all the buzz about CD-ROM, multimedia, and on-line information services, one might conclude that print is on its way out. For now, however, print has advantages that no digital technology can match. Cost alone is a compelling reason to choose print media over other kinds of information delivery mechanisms. The extent to which readers of a printed publication will switch to an electronic version of the same publication is hard to predict. In general, publishers believe that interactive media and online information distribution will continue to grow. For these publishers, the profitability of today's first forays into these emerging technologies is secondary to the goal of getting in on the ground floor of this new market." Source: Standard and Poor's Industry Surveys, July 1996 pg m25, m31.
See Scholarly Electronic Journals and Listservs which includes statistics on electronic publishing.
Source: Directory of Electronic Journals, Newsletters and Academic Discussion Lists (Washington, D.C.: Association of Research Libraries, various years)
Source: The full text ideal. Database, Dec 1995.
The annual full text review article in Database found that in 1996, full text sources were too widespread, in too many diverse locations, to easily enumerate. Source: The full text year in review, Database, Dec 1996.